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Home » Predictions » Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC Betting tips for February 3 in Indonesia Liga 3
Monday, 03 February 2025, 11h00 Indonesia Liga 3
Persiba Balikpapan Persiba Balikpapan
PREDICTION No tip
Sada Sumut FC Sada Sumut FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC Betting tips for February 3 in Indonesia Liga 3

Our betting tip for Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC, Monday, 3/2/2025
📅 3/2/2025
11:00
Persiba Balikpapan Persiba Balikpapan
2.11
X
3.00
Sada Sumut FC Sada Sumut FC
3.29

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC

Some important points for the tip for Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Persiba Balikpapan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 In the last 10 matches as the home team, Persiba Balikpapan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Sada Sumut FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC for the Indonesia Liga 3 – 3 of February

🏟️ Persiba Balikpapan X Sada Sumut FC – Indonesia Liga 3
📅 3 of February, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Persiba Balikpapan – Winning probability: 42.80% | Fair line: 2.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.66% | Fair line: 3.16
🔴 Sada Sumut FC – Winning probability: 25.54% | Fair line: 3.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Persiba Balikpapan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255653 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC

Is betting on Persiba Balikpapan worth it?

🔵 Persiba Balikpapan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $477.30
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$92.70.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $640.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sada Sumut FC?

🔴 Sada Sumut FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $595.40;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$144.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Persiba Balikpapan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Persiba Balikpapan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Persiba Balikpapan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sada Sumut FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Persiba Balikpapan x Sada Sumut FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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