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Home » Predictions » Others » Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati Betting tips for February 5 in Indonesia Liga 2
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 06h30 Indonesia Liga 2
Persipura Jayapura Persipura Jayapura
PREDICTION Persipura Jayapura wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Persipa Pati Persipa Pati
ODD: @1.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati Betting tips for February 5 in Indonesia Liga 2

Our betting tip for Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
06:30
Persipura Jayapura Persipura Jayapura
1.58
X
3.60
Persipa Pati Persipa Pati
4.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati:

🔮 Persipura Jayapura wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Persipura Jayapura, you can win up to $790.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Persipa Pati in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Persipa Pati did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Persipura Jayapura scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Persipa Pati matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati for the Indonesia Liga 2 – 5 of February

🏟️ Persipura Jayapura X Persipa Pati – Indonesia Liga 2
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 06:30
🔵 Persipura Jayapura – Winning probability: 69.11% | Fair line: 1.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.74% | Fair line: 4.4
🔴 Persipa Pati – Winning probability: 8.16% | Fair line: 12.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Persipura Jayapura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257615 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati

Is it worth betting on Persipura Jayapura?

🔵 Persipura Jayapura: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $400.20
  • And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$90.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $598.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Should you bet on Persipa Pati?

🔴 Persipa Pati: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $304.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$616.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Persipura Jayapura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Persipura Jayapura, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Persipura Jayapura.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Persipura Jayapura.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Persipura Jayapura x Persipa Pati

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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