๐
20/1/2022 21:00 |
![]() 1.40 |
X 4.30 |
Jamaica ![]() 7.80 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Peru x Jamaica:
๐ฎ Peru wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Peru, you can win up to $700.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Peru x Jamaica
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Peru x Jamaica?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Peru x Jamaica:
Analysis from Peru x Jamaica for the International Match – 20 of January
๐๏ธ Peru X Jamaica – International Match |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Peru x Jamaica right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289741 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Peru x Jamaica
Should you bet on Peru?
๐ต Peru: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $340.00;
- And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$190.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $264.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$656.00.
Is it worth betting on Jamaica?
๐ด Jamaica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $476.00;
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$454.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Peru x Jamaica
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Peru
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peru x Jamaica
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Peru and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Peru.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Peru.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peru x Jamaica
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves