Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Perugia x Sestri Levante Betting tips for April 12 in Italy Serie C Group B
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 15h30 Italy Serie C Group B
Perugia Perugia
PREDICTION Perugia wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Sestri Levante Sestri Levante
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Perugia x Sestri Levante Betting tips for April 12 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Perugia x Sestri Levante, Saturday, 12/4/2025
๐Ÿ“… 12/4/2025
15:30
Perugia Perugia
1.62
X
3.55
Sestri Levante Sestri Levante
5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Perugia x Sestri Levante:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Perugia wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Perugia, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Perugia x Sestri Levante:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Perugia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $323.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sestri Levante in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Perugia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sestri Levante conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Perugia is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Sestri Levante as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Perugia x Sestri Levante?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Perugia x Sestri Levante for the Italy Serie C Group B – 12 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Perugia X Sestri Levante – Italy Serie C Group B
๐Ÿ“… 12 of April, 2025 – 15:30
๐Ÿ”ต Perugia – Winning probability: 69.13% | Fair line: 1.45
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.54% | Fair line: 4.87
๐Ÿ”ด Sestri Levante – Winning probability: 10.32% | Fair line: 9.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Perugia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Perugia x Sestri Levante right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Perugia x Sestri Levante

Is it a good idea to bet on Perugia?

๐Ÿ”ต Perugia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $427.80;
  • And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$117.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $535.50;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$254.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sestri Levante?

๐Ÿ”ด Sestri Levante: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $400.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$500.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Perugia x Sestri Levante

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Perugia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Perugia x Sestri Levante

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Perugia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Perugia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Perugia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Perugia x Sestri Levante

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteรบdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters