Perugia x Sestri Levante Betting tips for April 12 in Italy Serie C Group B
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12/4/2025 15:30 |
![]() 1.62 |
X 3.55 |
Sestri Levante ![]() 5.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Perugia x Sestri Levante:
๐ฎ Perugia wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Perugia, you can win up to $810.00!
Important information for your tip for Perugia x Sestri Levante: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Perugia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $323.0. |

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Analysis from Perugia x Sestri Levante for the Italy Serie C Group B – 12 of April
๐๏ธ Perugia X Sestri Levante – Italy Serie C Group B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Perugia x Sestri Levante right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Perugia x Sestri Levante
Is it a good idea to bet on Perugia?
๐ต Perugia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $427.80;
- And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$117.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $535.50;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$254.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sestri Levante?
๐ด Sestri Levante: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $400.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$500.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Perugia x Sestri Levante
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Perugia
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Perugia x Sestri Levante
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Perugia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Perugia.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Perugia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Perugia x Sestri Levante
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.