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Home » Predictions » Others » Peterborough x Cheltenham Betting tips for February 5 in England EFL Trophy
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 19h00 England EFL Trophy
Peterborough Peterborough
PREDICTION Peterborough wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Cheltenham Cheltenham
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Peterborough x Cheltenham Betting tips for February 5 in England EFL Trophy

Our betting tip for Peterborough x Cheltenham, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
19:00
Peterborough Peterborough
1.75
X
3.65
Cheltenham Cheltenham
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Peterborough x Cheltenham:

🔮 Peterborough wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Peterborough, you can win up to $875.00!

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Important information for your tip for Peterborough x Cheltenham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Peterborough in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $17.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cheltenham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Cheltenham did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Peterborough matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Cheltenham matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Peterborough x Cheltenham for the England EFL Trophy – 5 of February

🏟️ Peterborough X Cheltenham – England EFL Trophy
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Peterborough – Winning probability: 68.31% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.48% | Fair line: 8.01
🔴 Cheltenham – Winning probability: 19.21% | Fair line: 5.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Peterborough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Peterborough x Cheltenham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257659 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Peterborough x Cheltenham

Should you bet on Peterborough?

🔵 Peterborough: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $318.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$562.00.

Is betting on Cheltenham worth it?

🔴 Cheltenham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Peterborough x Cheltenham

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Peterborough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peterborough x Cheltenham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Peterborough, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Peterborough.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Peterborough.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peterborough x Cheltenham

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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