Peterborough x Notts County Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Peterborough x Notts County, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Peterborough 1.57

X 4.30

Notts County 4.84

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Peterborough x Notts County:

🔮 Peterborough wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Peterborough, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Peterborough x Notts County: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Peterborough in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Notts County in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Peterborough scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Notts County, Peterborough scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Notts County matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Peterborough matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Peterborough conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Notts County conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Peterborough has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Notts County playing at home.

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Analysis from Peterborough x Notts County for the England FA Cup – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Peterborough x Notts County right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Peterborough x Notts County

Is betting on Peterborough worth it?

🔵 Peterborough: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $421.80;
• And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$161.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $363.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$527.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Notts County?

🔴 Notts County: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$274.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Peterborough x Notts County

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Peterborough
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peterborough x Notts County

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Peterborough and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Peterborough.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Notts County.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peterborough x Notts County

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.