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Home » Predictions » Others » Peterborough x Reading Betting tips for November 23 in England League 1
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 15h00 England League 1
Peterborough Peterborough
PREDICTION Peterborough wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Reading Reading
ODD: @1.88 Don't miss this prediction!

Peterborough x Reading Betting tips for November 23 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Peterborough x Reading, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
15:00
Peterborough Peterborough
1.88
X
3.78
Reading Reading
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Peterborough x Reading:

🔮 Peterborough wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Peterborough, you can win up to $940.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Peterborough x Reading:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Peterborough in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Reading in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Peterborough scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Peterborough matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Peterborough conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Reading conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Peterborough is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Peterborough x Reading?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Peterborough x Reading for the England League 1 – 23 of November

🏟️ Peterborough X Reading – England League 1
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Peterborough – Winning probability: 58.40% | Fair line: 1.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.90% | Fair line: 4.78
🔴 Reading – Winning probability: 20.69% | Fair line: 4.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Peterborough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Peterborough x Reading is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225929 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Peterborough x Reading

Is betting on Peterborough worth it?

🔵 Peterborough: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $510.40
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$90.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $583.80
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$206.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Reading?

🔴 Reading: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Peterborough x Reading

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Peterborough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peterborough x Reading

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Peterborough, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Peterborough.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peterborough x Reading

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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