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Home » Predictions » Others » Peterhead x Montrose Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Scotland FA Cup
Peterhead Peterhead
PREDICTION Peterhead wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Montrose Montrose
ODD: @3.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Peterhead x Montrose Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Peterhead x Montrose, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Peterhead Peterhead
3.90
X
3.50
Montrose Montrose
1.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Peterhead x Montrose:

🔮 Peterhead wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Peterhead, you can win up to $1950.00!

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Important information for your tip for Peterhead x Montrose:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Peterhead in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-162.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Montrose in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $170.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Peterhead scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Montrose matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Peterhead x Montrose, with Peterhead as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Peterhead matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Montrose received red cards as the away team in all the last 4 head-to-head matches against Peterhead.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Peterhead conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Peterhead x Montrose?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Peterhead x Montrose, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Peterhead x Montrose for the Scotland FA Cup – 30 of November

🏟️ Peterhead X Montrose – Scotland FA Cup
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Peterhead – Winning probability: 48.73% | Fair line: 2.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.29% | Fair line: 8.86
🔴 Montrose – Winning probability: 39.98% | Fair line: 2.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Peterhead
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Peterhead x Montrose is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Peterhead x Montrose

Should you bet on Peterhead?

🔵 Peterhead: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $1421.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$911.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $275.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$615.00.

Should you bet on Montrose?

🔴 Montrose: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $312.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$288.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Peterhead x Montrose

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Peterhead
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peterhead x Montrose

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Peterhead, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Peterhead.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Peterhead.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peterhead x Montrose

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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