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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Petrolina SFC x Central SC Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 22h00 Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano
Petrolina SFC Petrolina SFC
PREDICTION No tip
Central SC Central SC
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Petrolina SFC x Central SC Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano

Our betting tip for Petrolina SFC x Central SC, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
22:00
Petrolina SFC Petrolina SFC
2.96
X
2.95
Central SC Central SC
2.35

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Petrolina SFC x Central SC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Petrolina SFC x Central SC

Important information for your tip for Petrolina SFC x Central SC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Petrolina SFC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Central SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Petrolina SFC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the away team, Central SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Petrolina SFC x Central SC for the Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano – 2 of February

🏟️ Petrolina SFC X Central SC – Brazil Campeonato Pernambucano
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 22:00
πŸ”΅ Petrolina SFC – Winning probability: 25.48% | Fair line: 3.92
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.13% | Fair line: 3.02
πŸ”΄ Central SC – Winning probability: 41.38% | Fair line: 2.42
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Petrolina SFC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Petrolina SFC x Central SC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Petrolina SFC x Central SC

Is it worth betting on Petrolina SFC?

πŸ”΅ Petrolina SFC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $490.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$260.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $643.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$26.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Central SC?

πŸ”΄ Central SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $553.50;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$36.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Petrolina SFC x Central SC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Petrolina SFC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Petrolina SFC x Central SC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Petrolina SFC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Petrolina SFC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Central SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Petrolina SFC x Central SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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