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Home Β» Predictions Β» Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba Betting tips for February 5 in Costa Rica Segunda
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 02h00 Costa Rica Segunda
Pfa Antioquia FC Pfa Antioquia FC
PREDICTION No tip
Municipal Turrialba Municipal Turrialba
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Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba Betting tips for February 5 in Costa Rica Segunda

Our betting tip for Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
πŸ“… 5/2/2025
02:00
Pfa Antioquia FC Pfa Antioquia FC
2.30
X
3.20
Municipal Turrialba Municipal Turrialba
2.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba

Important information for your tip for Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pfa Antioquia FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Municipal Turrialba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Municipal Turrialba scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Municipal Turrialba matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Pfa Antioquia FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Municipal Turrialba conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba for the Costa Rica Segunda – 5 of February

🏟️ Pfa Antioquia FC X Municipal Turrialba – Costa Rica Segunda
πŸ“… 5 of February, 2025 – 02:00
πŸ”΅ Pfa Antioquia FC – Winning probability: 37.95% | Fair line: 2.63
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.95% | Fair line: 4.01
πŸ”΄ Municipal Turrialba – Winning probability: 37.10% | Fair line: 2.7
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pfa Antioquia FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257615 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba

Is it worth betting on Pfa Antioquia FC?

πŸ”΅ Pfa Antioquia FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$126.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Municipal Turrialba?

πŸ”΄ Municipal Turrialba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $610.50;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$19.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pfa Antioquia FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Pfa Antioquia FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Pfa Antioquia FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pfa Antioquia FC x Municipal Turrialba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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