Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC Betting tips for July 5 in USA USL Championship

Our betting tip for Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC, Saturday, 5/7/2025

📅 5/7/2025 02:30

Phoenix Rising FC 1.85

X 3.40

Lexington SC 3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC

Important information for your tip for Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Phoenix Rising FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lexington SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Phoenix Rising FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lexington SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Lexington SC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC for the USA USL Championship – 5 of July

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Phoenix Rising FC and Lexington SC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348443 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC

Is it a good idea to bet on Phoenix Rising FC?

🔵 Phoenix Rising FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $399.50;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Should you bet on Lexington SC?

🔴 Lexington SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $676.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Phoenix Rising FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Phoenix Rising FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Phoenix Rising FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lexington SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Phoenix Rising FC x Lexington SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.