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Home » Predictions » Others » Phrae United x Bangkok FC Betting tips for January 11 in Thailand Division 2
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 12h00 Thailand Division 2
Phrae United Phrae United
PREDICTION Phrae United wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Bangkok FC Bangkok FC
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

Phrae United x Bangkok FC Betting tips for January 11 in Thailand Division 2

Our betting tip for Phrae United x Bangkok FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
12:00
Phrae United Phrae United
1.91
X
3.20
Bangkok FC Bangkok FC
3.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Phrae United x Bangkok FC:

🔮 Phrae United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Phrae United, you can win up to $955.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Phrae United x Bangkok FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Phrae United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-178.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bangkok FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $650.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Phrae United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Phrae United matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Phrae United conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bangkok FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Phrae United x Bangkok FC for the Thailand Division 2 – 11 of January

🏟️ Phrae United X Bangkok FC – Thailand Division 2
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Phrae United – Winning probability: 57.20% | Fair line: 1.75
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.53% | Fair line: 4.25
🔴 Bangkok FC – Winning probability: 19.27% | Fair line: 5.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Phrae United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Phrae United and Bangkok FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Phrae United x Bangkok FC

Should you bet on Phrae United?

🔵 Phrae United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $518.70;
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is betting on Bangkok FC worth it?

🔴 Bangkok FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $497.80;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$312.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Phrae United x Bangkok FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Phrae United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Phrae United x Bangkok FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Phrae United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Phrae United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Bangkok FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Phrae United x Bangkok FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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