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Home » Predictions » Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Piacenza Piacenza
PREDICTION Piacenza wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
SCD Progresso Calcio SCD Progresso Calcio
ODD: @1.82 Don't miss this prediction!

Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
13:30
Piacenza Piacenza
1.82
X
3.30
SCD Progresso Calcio SCD Progresso Calcio
3.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio:

🔮 Piacenza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Piacenza, you can win up to $910.00!

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The main points for the tip for Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Piacenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $47.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Piacenza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, SCD Progresso Calcio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ Piacenza X SCD Progresso Calcio – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Piacenza – Winning probability: 63.93% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.20% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 SCD Progresso Calcio – Winning probability: 11.87% | Fair line: 8.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Piacenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio

Should you bet on Piacenza?

🔵 Piacenza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $524.80;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$164.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SCD Progresso Calcio?

🔴 SCD Progresso Calcio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Piacenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Piacenza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Piacenza. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Piacenza x SCD Progresso Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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