Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven Betting tips for March 15 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 13:30

Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.85

X 3.35

Spartak Pleven 3.64

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven

Some important points for the tip for Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pirin Blagoevgrad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-378.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Spartak Pleven in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. 👉 In the last 3 Spartak Pleven matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven for the Bulgaria Second League – 15 of March

When the best bet on Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven

Is it a good idea to bet on Pirin Blagoevgrad?

🔵 Pirin Blagoevgrad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $416.50
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$93.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $705.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$5.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Spartak Pleven?

🔴 Spartak Pleven: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pirin Blagoevgrad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Pirin Blagoevgrad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Pirin Blagoevgrad.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Spartak Pleven.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pirin Blagoevgrad x Spartak Pleven

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.