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Home » Predictions » Others » Pistoiese x Imolese Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Pistoiese Pistoiese
PREDICTION Pistoiese wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Imolese Imolese
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Pistoiese x Imolese Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Pistoiese x Imolese, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
13:30
Pistoiese Pistoiese
1.61
X
3.50
Imolese Imolese
4.64

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pistoiese x Imolese:

🔮 Pistoiese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pistoiese, you can win up to $805.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Pistoiese x Imolese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Imolese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Pistoiese scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Pistoiese x Imolese?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Pistoiese x Imolese, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Pistoiese x Imolese for the Italy Serie D – 9 of March

🏟️ Pistoiese X Imolese – Italy Serie D
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Pistoiese – Winning probability: 68.06% | Fair line: 1.47
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.77% | Fair line: 4.39
🔴 Imolese – Winning probability: 9.17% | Fair line: 10.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Pistoiese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pistoiese x Imolese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pistoiese x Imolese

Is it worth betting on Pistoiese?

🔵 Pistoiese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $414.80
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$94.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$195.00.

Should you bet on Imolese?

🔴 Imolese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $327.60
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$582.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pistoiese x Imolese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Pistoiese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pistoiese x Imolese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Pistoiese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Pistoiese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Pistoiese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pistoiese x Imolese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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