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Home Β» Predictions Β» Pistoiese x Lentigione Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Pistoiese Pistoiese
PREDICTION No tip
Lentigione Lentigione
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Pistoiese x Lentigione Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Pistoiese x Lentigione, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
13:30
Pistoiese Pistoiese
2.22
X
3.10
Lentigione Lentigione
3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pistoiese x Lentigione:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Pistoiese x Lentigione

Some important points for the tip for Pistoiese x Lentigione:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lentigione in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $81.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Pistoiese scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lentigione conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Pistoiese is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Pistoiese x Lentigione for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ Pistoiese X Lentigione – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Pistoiese – Winning probability: 45.76% | Fair line: 2.19
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.61% | Fair line: 3.76
πŸ”΄ Lentigione – Winning probability: 27.64% | Fair line: 3.62
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pistoiese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pistoiese and Lentigione.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pistoiese x Lentigione

Is betting on Pistoiese worth it?

πŸ”΅ Pistoiese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $561.20;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$21.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$163.00.

Should you bet on Lentigione?

πŸ”΄ Lentigione: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pistoiese x Lentigione

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pistoiese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pistoiese x Lentigione

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Pistoiese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Pistoiese. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pistoiese x Lentigione

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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