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Home » Predictions » Others » Platense x Rosario Central Betting tips for April 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 15 April 2025, 23h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Platense Platense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Rosario Central Rosario Central
ODD: @2.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Platense x Rosario Central Betting tips for April 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Platense x Rosario Central, Tuesday, 15/4/2025
📅 15/4/2025
23:00
Platense Platense
2.42
X
2.74
Rosario Central Rosario Central
3.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Platense x Rosario Central:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1370.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Platense x Rosario Central:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Platense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rosario Central in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Platense x Rosario Central, with Platense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Platense x Rosario Central for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 15 of April

🏟️ Platense X Rosario Central – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 15 of April, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Platense – Winning probability: 41.10% | Fair line: 2.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.36% | Fair line: 2.61
🔴 Rosario Central – Winning probability: 20.54% | Fair line: 4.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Platense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Platense x Rosario Central right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304535 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Platense x Rosario Central

Should you bet on Platense?

🔵 Platense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $582.20;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$7.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $661.20;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$41.20.

Is it worth betting on Rosario Central?

🔴 Rosario Central: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $489.30
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Platense x Rosario Central

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Platense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Platense x Rosario Central

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Platense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Platense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Rosario Central.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Platense x Rosario Central

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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