Platges de Calvia x Alcudia Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for Platges de Calvia x Alcudia, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 16:30

Platges de Calvia 2.48

X 3.02

Alcudia 2.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Platges de Calvia x Alcudia:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Platges de Calvia x Alcudia

Important information for your tip for Platges de Calvia x Alcudia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Platges de Calvia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-149.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Alcudia scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Alcudia, Platges de Calvia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Alcudia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Alcudia conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Alcudia has not lost any of them. 👉 Platges de Calvia has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Alcudia.

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Analysis from Platges de Calvia x Alcudia for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Platges de Calvia and Alcudia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Platges de Calvia x Alcudia

Should you bet on Platges de Calvia?

🔵 Platges de Calvia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $651.20;
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$91.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $565.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$154.40.

Should you bet on Alcudia?

🔴 Alcudia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $466.90;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$243.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Platges de Calvia x Alcudia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Platges de Calvia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Platges de Calvia x Alcudia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Platges de Calvia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Platges de Calvia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Alcudia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Platges de Calvia x Alcudia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.