Plymouth x Exeter Betting tips for April 11 in England League 1
| 📅 11/4/2026 11:30 |
Plymouth1.57 |
X 4.05 |
Exeter ![]() 4.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Plymouth x Exeter:
🔮 Plymouth wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Plymouth, you can win up to $785.00!
Important information for your tip for Plymouth x Exeter:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Plymouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $426.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Exeter in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Plymouth scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Exeter, Plymouth scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Plymouth x Exeter, with Plymouth as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Exeter conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Plymouth has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Exeter playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Exeter as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Plymouth x Exeter for the England League 1 – 11 of April
🏟️ Plymouth X Exeter – England League 1
📅 11 of April, 2026 – 11:30
🔵 Plymouth – Winning probability: 69.69% | Fair line: 1.43
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.87% | Fair line: 5.93
🔴 Exeter – Winning probability: 13.44% | Fair line: 7.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Plymouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Odds and handicap movements for Plymouth x Exeter
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Plymouth x Exeter.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 2.48%, the odds for Plymouth are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.533 for Plymouth and now the odds are @1.571.
📊 With a variation of 2.56%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.9 for Draw and now the odds are @4.0.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Exeter are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @5.5 for Exeter and now the odds are @5.5.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -1.00 for Plymouth is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 3.0 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Plymouth x Exeter
When the best bet on Plymouth x Exeter is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1519533 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is betting on Plymouth worth it?
🔵 Plymouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $399.00;
- And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$99.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $518.50;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$311.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Exeter?
🔴 Exeter: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $494.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$376.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Plymouth x Exeter
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Plymouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Plymouth x Exeter
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Plymouth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Plymouth.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Exeter.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Plymouth x Exeter
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Plymouth x Exeter
Who is the favourite: Plymouth or Exeter?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Plymouth, with an estimated chance of 69.69%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Plymouth x Exeter?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Plymouth is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 69.69%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Plymouth beating Exeter today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Plymouth would take victory in roughly 70 of them versus Exeter.
What are the chances of Exeter beating Plymouth today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Exeter would take victory in roughly 13 of them against Plymouth.
Which team should I bet on: Plymouth or Exeter?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Plymouth wins as the best pick, with EV of 9.86%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is Plymouth paying today? See what you can win by betting on Plymouth x Exeter:
The average odds for Plymouth to beat Exeter today are 1.57. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1570.00 if Plymouth wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Exeter paying today? See what you can win by betting on Plymouth x Exeter:
The average odds for Exeter to beat Plymouth today are 4.80. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh4800.00 if Exeter wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Plymouth