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Poland x Latvia Betting tips for November 21 in International Match

Our betting tip for Poland x Latvia, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Poland Poland
1.25
X
5.50
Latvia Latvia
9.77

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Poland x Latvia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Poland wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Poland, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Poland x Latvia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Poland in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $219.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Latvia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Poland scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 Poland matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Latvia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Latvia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Latvia as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Poland x Latvia

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Poland x Latvia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Poland x Latvia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Poland x Latvia for the International Match – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Poland X Latvia – International Match
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Poland – Winning probability: 90.83% | Fair line: 1.1
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.64% | Fair line: 13.09
๐Ÿ”ด Latvia – Winning probability: 1.53% | Fair line: 65.39
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Poland
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Poland x Latvia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Poland x Latvia

Is it a good idea to bet on Poland?

๐Ÿ”ต Poland: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – profiting $227.50;
  • And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$137.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$560.00.

Should you bet on Latvia?

๐Ÿ”ด Latvia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $175.40;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$804.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Poland x Latvia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Poland
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Poland x Latvia

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Poland and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Poland.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Poland.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Poland x Latvia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves