Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC Betting tips for September 29 in Thailand Division 2

Our betting tip for Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 08:30

Police Tero FC 1.71

X 3.70

Suphanburi FC 4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC

Some important points for the tip for Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Police Tero FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $615.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Suphanburi FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Police Tero FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Suphanburi FC, Police Tero FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Police Tero FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Suphanburi FC conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Police Tero FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Suphanburi FC playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Suphanburi FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC for the Thailand Division 2 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Police Tero FC?

🔵 Police Tero FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $418.90
• And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.90, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $756.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$36.00.

Should you bet on Suphanburi FC?

🔴 Suphanburi FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$480.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Police Tero FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Police Tero FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Police Tero FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Police Tero FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Police Tero FC x Suphanburi FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.