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Home » Predictions » Polvorin x UD Ourense Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 17h30 Spain Tercera Group 1
Polvorin Polvorin
PREDICTION UD Ourense Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
UD Ourense UD Ourense
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Polvorin x UD Ourense Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Polvorin x UD Ourense, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
17:30
Polvorin Polvorin
4.04
X
3.25
UD Ourense UD Ourense
1.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Polvorin x UD Ourense:

🔮 UD Ourense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Ourense, you can win up to $900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Polvorin x UD Ourense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Polvorin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $86.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Ourense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $176.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, UD Ourense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against UD Ourense, Polvorin scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Polvorin matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Polvorin x UD Ourense, with Polvorin as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, UD Ourense has not lost any of them.
👉 Polvorin has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against UD Ourense.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Polvorin x UD Ourense?

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Analysis from Polvorin x UD Ourense for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 2 of February

🏟️ Polvorin X UD Ourense – Spain Tercera Group 1
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Polvorin – Winning probability: 11.83% | Fair line: 8.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.07% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 UD Ourense – Winning probability: 63.09% | Fair line: 1.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Polvorin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Polvorin x UD Ourense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Polvorin x UD Ourense

Is it a good idea to bet on Polvorin?

🔵 Polvorin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $364.80;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$515.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $562.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$187.50.

Is betting on UD Ourense worth it?

🔴 UD Ourense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Polvorin x UD Ourense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Polvorin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Polvorin x UD Ourense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Polvorin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Polvorin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 UD Ourense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Polvorin x UD Ourense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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