Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio, Sunday, 2/2/2025

📅 2/2/2025 16:30

Pontedera 2.37

X 3.10

Asd Pineto Calcio 2.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio

The main points for the tip for Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontedera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Pineto Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $625.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, ASD Pineto Calcio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 ASD Pineto Calcio matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASD Pineto Calcio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio for the Italy Serie C Group B – 2 of February

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pontedera and Asd Pineto Calcio.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio

Is it worth betting on Pontedera?

🔵 Pontedera: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $506.90;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$123.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $672.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$8.00.

Is betting on Asd Pineto Calcio worth it?

🔴 Asd Pineto Calcio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $542.50
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$147.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pontedera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Pontedera and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Pontedera.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Pontedera.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pontedera x Asd Pineto Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.