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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Pontedera x Campobasso Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie C Group B
Pontedera Pontedera
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 40% 1 X 2
Campobasso Campobasso
ODD: @3.01 Don't miss this prediction!

Pontedera x Campobasso Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Pontedera x Campobasso, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
13:30
Pontedera Pontedera
2.20
X
3.01
Campobasso Campobasso
3.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Pontedera x Campobasso:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1505.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Pontedera x Campobasso:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pontedera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Campobasso in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Campobasso did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Campobasso matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Pontedera conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Pontedera x Campobasso?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Pontedera x Campobasso:

Analysis from Pontedera x Campobasso for the Italy Serie C Group B – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Pontedera X Campobasso – Italy Serie C Group B
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต Pontedera – Winning probability: 36.60% | Fair line: 2.73
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.24% | Fair line: 2.49
๐Ÿ”ด Campobasso – Winning probability: 23.15% | Fair line: 4.32
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pontedera
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pontedera x Campobasso right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pontedera x Campobasso

Is betting on Pontedera worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Pontedera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $444.00
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$186.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $804.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$204.00.

Is betting on Campobasso worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Campobasso: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $471.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$298.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pontedera x Campobasso

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pontedera
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pontedera x Campobasso

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Pontedera, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Pontedera.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Campobasso.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pontedera x Campobasso

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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