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Home » Predictions » Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC Betting tips for January 10 in Wales Championship South
Friday, 10 January 2025, 19h30 Wales Championship South
Pontypridd Utd Pontypridd Utd
PREDICTION Pontypridd Utd wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Newport City FC Newport City FC
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC Betting tips for January 10 in Wales Championship South

Our betting tip for Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC, Friday, 10/1/2025
📅 10/1/2025
19:30
Pontypridd Utd Pontypridd Utd
1.57
X
4.00
Newport City FC Newport City FC
4.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC:

🔮 Pontypridd Utd wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pontypridd Utd, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontypridd Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newport City FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Pontypridd Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Newport City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Pontypridd Utd matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Pontypridd Utd is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC for the Wales Championship South – 10 of January

🏟️ Pontypridd Utd X Newport City FC – Wales Championship South
📅 10 of January, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Pontypridd Utd – Winning probability: 75.52% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.41% | Fair line: 6.09
🔴 Newport City FC – Winning probability: 8.07% | Fair line: 12.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Pontypridd Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244129 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC

Is betting on Pontypridd Utd worth it?

🔵 Pontypridd Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $433.20
  • And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$193.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Newport City FC?

🔴 Newport City FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $276.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$644.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Pontypridd Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Pontypridd Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Pontypridd Utd.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pontypridd Utd x Newport City FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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