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16/1/2022 15:15 |
 Pordenone3.81 |
X 3.40 |
Lecce  1.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pordenone x Lecce:
๐ฎ Lecce wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lecce, you can win up to $950.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Pordenone x Lecce
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Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best bookmakers from 2022, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Pordenone x Lecce for the Italy Serie B – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Pordenone X Lecce – Italy Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pordenone x Lecce right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Pordenone x Lecce
Is it a good idea to bet on Pordenone?
๐ต Pordenone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $449.60
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$390.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$82.00.
Should you bet on Lecce?
๐ด Lecce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $513.00;
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$83.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Pordenone x Lecce
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pordenone
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pordenone x Lecce
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Pordenone and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Pordenone.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Pordenone.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pordenone x Lecce
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
