📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Port Vale x Swindon
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Analysis from Port Vale x Swindon for the England League 2 – 15 of January
🏟️ Port Vale X Swindon – England League 2
When the best bet on Port Vale x Swindon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Port Vale x Swindon
Is betting on Port Vale worth it?
🔵 Port Vale: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 430 times – profiting $451.50;
- And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $667.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.00.
Is it worth betting on Swindon?
🔴 Swindon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $661.50;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$68.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Port Vale x Swindon
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Port Vale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Port Vale x Swindon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Port Vale and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Port Vale. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Port Vale x Swindon
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves