Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23 Betting tips for September 27 in Portugal U23 League

Our betting tip for Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23, Friday, 27/9/2024

📅 27/9/2024 11:00

Portimonense U23 3.78

X 3.50

Sporting U23 1.81

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23:

🔮 Sporting U23 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting U23, you can win up to $905.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portimonense U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $215.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-79.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sporting U23, Portimonense U23 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Sporting U23 matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23 for the Portugal U23 League – 27 of September

When the best bet on Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189524 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23

Is betting on Portimonense U23 worth it?

🔵 Portimonense U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $444.80;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$395.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $575.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$195.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sporting U23?

🔴 Sporting U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $494.10
• And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$104.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Portimonense U23
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Portimonense U23 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Portimonense U23.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portimonense U23 x Sporting U23

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.