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Home » Predictions » Others » Porto BA x Jacobina EC Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Baiano
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 00h00 Brazil Campeonato Baiano
Porto BA Porto BA
PREDICTION Porto BA wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Jacobina EC Jacobina EC
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction!

Porto BA x Jacobina EC Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Baiano

Our betting tip for Porto BA x Jacobina EC, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
00:00
Porto BA Porto BA
1.66
X
3.58
Jacobina EC Jacobina EC
4.54

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Porto BA x Jacobina EC:

🔮 Porto BA wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Porto BA, you can win up to $830.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Porto BA x Jacobina EC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Jacobina EC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $320.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Jacobina EC scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Porto BA x Jacobina EC for the Brazil Campeonato Baiano – 12 of January

🏟️ Porto BA X Jacobina EC – Brazil Campeonato Baiano
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 Porto BA – Winning probability: 79.47% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.12% | Fair line: 8.99
🔴 Jacobina EC – Winning probability: 9.41% | Fair line: 10.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Porto BA
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Porto BA x Jacobina EC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244796 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Porto BA x Jacobina EC

Is it a good idea to bet on Porto BA?

🔵 Porto BA: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $521.40
  • And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$311.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $283.80;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$606.20.

Is betting on Jacobina EC worth it?

🔴 Jacobina EC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $318.60
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$591.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Porto BA x Jacobina EC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Porto BA
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Porto BA x Jacobina EC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Porto BA and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Porto BA.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Porto BA.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Porto BA x Jacobina EC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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