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Home » Predictions » Porto BA x Jequie BA Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Baiano
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Baiano
Porto BA Porto BA
PREDICTION No tip
Jequie BA Jequie BA
Don't miss this prediction!

Porto BA x Jequie BA Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Baiano

Our betting tip for Porto BA x Jequie BA, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
21:30
Porto BA Porto BA
2.25
X
3.00
Jequie BA Jequie BA
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Porto BA x Jequie BA:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Porto BA x Jequie BA

Important information for your tip for Porto BA x Jequie BA:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Jequie BA in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Porto BA matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Porto BA x Jequie BA for the Brazil Campeonato Baiano – 2 of February

🏟️ Porto BA X Jequie BA – Brazil Campeonato Baiano
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Porto BA – Winning probability: 35.73% | Fair line: 2.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.90% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Jequie BA – Winning probability: 35.37% | Fair line: 2.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Porto BA
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Porto BA x Jequie BA right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Porto BA x Jequie BA

Is it a good idea to bet on Porto BA?

🔵 Porto BA: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Jequie BA?

🔴 Jequie BA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$50.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Porto BA x Jequie BA

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Porto BA
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Porto BA x Jequie BA

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Porto BA, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Porto BA.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Jequie BA.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Porto BA x Jequie BA

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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