Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D
| 📅 19/4/2025 18:30 |
 Porto Vitoria3.20 |
X 3.00 |
Nova Iguacu  2.20 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu:
🔮 Nova Iguacu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nova Iguacu, you can win up to $1100.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Porto Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0. |
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Analysis from Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April
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🏟️ Porto Vitoria X Nova Iguacu – Brazil Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1306590 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu
Is betting on Porto Vitoria worth it?
🔵 Porto Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $360.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$460.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Nova Iguacu?
🔴 Nova Iguacu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $696.00;
- And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$276.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Porto Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Porto Vitoria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Porto Vitoria.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Porto Vitoria x Nova Iguacu
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
