📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Portsmouth x Milton Keynes Dons
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Analysis from Portsmouth x Milton Keynes Dons for the England League 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Portsmouth X Milton Keynes Dons – England League 1
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Portsmouth x Milton Keynes Dons right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Portsmouth x Milton Keynes Dons
Is it a good idea to bet on Portsmouth?
🔵 Portsmouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $617.40;
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$107.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Milton Keynes Dons?
🔴 Milton Keynes Dons: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $575.40
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$144.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Portsmouth x Milton Keynes Dons
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Portsmouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portsmouth x Milton Keynes Dons
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Portsmouth, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Portsmouth.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portsmouth x Milton Keynes Dons
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves