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Home » Predictions » Others » Portuguesa x Caracas Betting tips for March 9 in Venezuela Primera Division
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 22h00 Venezuela Primera Division
Portuguesa Portuguesa
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Caracas Caracas
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Portuguesa x Caracas Betting tips for March 9 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Portuguesa x Caracas, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
22:00
Portuguesa Portuguesa
2.40
X
3.00
Caracas Caracas
2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Portuguesa x Caracas:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Portuguesa x Caracas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Caracas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
👉 In the last 4 Caracas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Portuguesa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Caracas.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Portuguesa x Caracas?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Portuguesa x Caracas:

Analysis from Portuguesa x Caracas for the Venezuela Primera Division – 9 of March

🏟️ Portuguesa X Caracas – Venezuela Primera Division
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Portuguesa – Winning probability: 40.81% | Fair line: 2.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.23% | Fair line: 3.01
🔴 Caracas – Winning probability: 25.96% | Fair line: 3.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Portuguesa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Portuguesa x Caracas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277528 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Portuguesa x Caracas

Should you bet on Portuguesa?

🔵 Portuguesa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Caracas?

🔴 Caracas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $486.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$253.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Portuguesa x Caracas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Portuguesa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portuguesa x Caracas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Portuguesa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Portuguesa.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portuguesa x Caracas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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