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Home » Predictions » Others » Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 22h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
PREDICTION Flamengo Wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Flamengo Flamengo
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
22:00
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
8.39
X
4.60
Flamengo Flamengo
1.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $650.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa RJ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $28.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Flamengo scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Portuguesa RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 road matches, Flamengo has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo:

Analysis from Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 5 of February

🏟️ Portuguesa RJ X Flamengo – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Portuguesa RJ – Winning probability: 1.26% | Fair line: 79.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.85% | Fair line: 11.3
🔴 Flamengo – Winning probability: 89.89% | Fair line: 1.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Portuguesa RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257906 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo

Should you bet on Portuguesa RJ?

🔵 Portuguesa RJ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $73.90
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$916.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$586.00.

Should you bet on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – profiting $270.00;
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Portuguesa RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Portuguesa RJ and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 Portuguesa RJ.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 Portuguesa RJ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portuguesa RJ x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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