Potenza x Benevento Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Potenza x Benevento, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 18:30

Potenza 3.18

X 3.10

Benevento 2.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Potenza x Benevento:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Potenza x Benevento

Some important points for the tip for Potenza x Benevento: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Potenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benevento in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $91.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Potenza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Benevento scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Potenza conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Benevento is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Potenza x Benevento for the Italy Serie C Group C – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Potenza x Benevento right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Potenza x Benevento

Is it a good idea to bet on Potenza?

🔵 Potenza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $436.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$364.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is it worth betting on Benevento?

🔴 Benevento: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$92.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Potenza x Benevento

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Potenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Potenza x Benevento

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Potenza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Potenza. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Potenza x Benevento

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.