Potenza x Casertana Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Potenza x Casertana, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 15:30

Potenza 2.10

X 3.22

Casertana 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Potenza x Casertana:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Potenza x Casertana

Some important points for the tip for Potenza x Casertana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Potenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Casertana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Potenza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Casertana, Potenza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Casertana matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Potenza matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Potenza conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Casertana conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Potenza has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Casertana playing at home.

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Analysis from Potenza x Casertana for the Italy Serie C Group C – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Potenza and Casertana.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Potenza x Casertana

Should you bet on Potenza?

🔵 Potenza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $418.00;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $710.40;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$30.40.

Is betting on Casertana worth it?

🔴 Casertana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$70.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Potenza x Casertana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Potenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Potenza x Casertana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Potenza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Potenza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Casertana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Potenza x Casertana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.