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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Potenza x Crotone Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group C
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 15h45 Italy Serie C Group C
Potenza Potenza
PREDICTION No tip
Crotone Crotone
Don't miss this prediction!

Potenza x Crotone Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Potenza x Crotone, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
15:45
Potenza Potenza
2.06
X
3.20
Crotone Crotone
3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Potenza x Crotone:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Potenza x Crotone

Important information for your tip for Potenza x Crotone:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Potenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $54.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Crotone in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Potenza scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Crotone scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Crotone conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Potenza x Crotone?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Potenza x Crotone, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Potenza x Crotone for the Italy Serie C Group C – 29 of September

🏟️ Potenza X Crotone – Italy Serie C Group C
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 15:45
πŸ”΅ Potenza – Winning probability: 31.34% | Fair line: 3.19
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.35% | Fair line: 3.09
πŸ”΄ Crotone – Winning probability: 36.31% | Fair line: 2.75
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Potenza
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Potenza x Crotone right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Potenza x Crotone

Is it a good idea to bet on Potenza?

πŸ”΅ Potenza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $328.60;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$361.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $704.00
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$24.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Crotone?

πŸ”΄ Crotone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$152.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Potenza x Crotone

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Potenza
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Potenza x Crotone

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Potenza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Potenza.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Potenza x Crotone

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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