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Home » Predictions » Others » Pouso Alegre x Betim FC Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Mineiro
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 23h00 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro
Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
PREDICTION No tip
Betim FC Betim FC
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Pouso Alegre x Betim FC Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Mineiro

Our betting tip for Pouso Alegre x Betim FC, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
23:00
Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
2.69
X
3.10
Betim FC Betim FC
2.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pouso Alegre x Betim FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Pouso Alegre x Betim FC

The main points for the tip for Pouso Alegre x Betim FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pouso Alegre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Betim FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
👉 Pouso Alegre did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Betim FC, Pouso Alegre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Pouso Alegre matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Betim FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Pouso Alegre x Betim FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Pouso Alegre x Betim FC:

Analysis from Pouso Alegre x Betim FC for the Brazil Campeonato Mineiro – 5 of February

🏟️ Pouso Alegre X Betim FC – Brazil Campeonato Mineiro
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Pouso Alegre – Winning probability: 28.07% | Fair line: 3.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.41% | Fair line: 3.29
🔴 Betim FC – Winning probability: 41.51% | Fair line: 2.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pouso Alegre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pouso Alegre x Betim FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257906 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pouso Alegre x Betim FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Pouso Alegre?

🔵 Pouso Alegre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $473.20
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$246.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $630.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$70.00.

Should you bet on Betim FC?

🔴 Betim FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$29.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pouso Alegre x Betim FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pouso Alegre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pouso Alegre x Betim FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Pouso Alegre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Pouso Alegre.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Betim FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pouso Alegre x Betim FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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