Preston x Charlton Betting tips for January 14 in England FA Cup
| 📅 14/1/2025 19:45 |
 Preston2.05 |
X 3.40 |
Charlton  3.54 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Preston x Charlton:
🔮 Charlton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Charlton, you can win up to $1770.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Preston x Charlton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Preston in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-3.0. |
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Analysis from Preston x Charlton for the England FA Cup – 14 of January
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🏟️ Preston X Charlton – England FA Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Preston x Charlton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1245823 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Preston x Charlton
Is betting on Preston worth it?
🔵 Preston: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $514.50;
- And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$4.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$456.00.
Should you bet on Charlton?
🔴 Charlton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $863.60;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$203.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Preston x Charlton
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Preston
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Preston x Charlton
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Preston, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Preston.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Charlton.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Preston x Charlton
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
