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Home » Predictions » Others » Preston x Portsmouth Betting tips for March 15 in England Championship
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 15h00 England Championship
Preston Preston
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Portsmouth Portsmouth
ODD: @3.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Preston x Portsmouth Betting tips for March 15 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Preston x Portsmouth, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
15:00
Preston Preston
1.95
X
3.38
Portsmouth Portsmouth
3.74

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Preston x Portsmouth:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Preston x Portsmouth:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Preston in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Portsmouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Preston x Portsmouth for the England Championship – 15 of March

🏟️ Preston X Portsmouth – England Championship
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Preston – Winning probability: 41.75% | Fair line: 2.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.26% | Fair line: 2.76
🔴 Portsmouth – Winning probability: 21.99% | Fair line: 4.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Preston
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Preston and Portsmouth.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Preston x Portsmouth

Is it a good idea to bet on Preston?

🔵 Preston: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $399.00;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $856.80;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$216.80.

Should you bet on Portsmouth?

🔴 Portsmouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $602.80
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$177.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Preston x Portsmouth

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Preston
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Preston x Portsmouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Preston, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Preston.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Preston x Portsmouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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