📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Preston x Sheff Utd
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Analysis from Preston x Sheff Utd for the England Championship – 26 of December
🏟️ Preston X Sheff Utd – England Championship
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Preston and Sheff Utd.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial inteligelnce has colected information from around 281997 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Preston x Sheff Utd
Is betting on Preston worth it?
🔵 Preston: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $540.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
That is why bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $768.40
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$108.40.
Is betting on Sheff Utd worth it?
🔴 Sheff Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 390 times – profiting $518.70;
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$91.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Preston x Sheff Utd
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Going ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Preston
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Preston x Sheff Utd
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Preston, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Preston.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Preston.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Preston x Sheff Utd
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at that moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies nand the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicapmarket.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves