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18/1/2022 19:45 |
 Preston2.62 |
X 3.23 |
Sheff Utd  2.62 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Preston x Sheff Utd:
๐ฎ Preston wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Preston, you can win up to $1310.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Preston x Sheff Utd
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Analysis from Preston x Sheff Utd for the England Championship – 18 of January
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๐๏ธ Preston X Sheff Utd – England Championship |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Preston x Sheff Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289715 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Preston x Sheff Utd
Is it worth betting on Preston?
๐ต Preston: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $712.80
- And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$152.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $645.25;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$64.75.
Should you bet on Sheff Utd?
๐ด Sheff Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $436.05;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$293.95.
Handicaps analysis for the match Preston x Sheff Utd
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Preston
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Preston x Sheff Utd
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Preston and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Preston.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Preston x Sheff Utd
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
