Pretoria University x Baroka FC Betting tips for September 29 in South Africa National Div 1

Our betting tip for Pretoria University x Baroka FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Pretoria University 2.45

X 2.92

Baroka FC 2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pretoria University x Baroka FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Pretoria University x Baroka FC

The main points for the tip for Pretoria University x Baroka FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pretoria University in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Baroka FC, Pretoria University scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Pretoria University matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Pretoria University x Baroka FC for the South Africa National Div 1 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pretoria University x Baroka FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pretoria University x Baroka FC

Is it worth betting on Pretoria University?

🔵 Pretoria University: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $522.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $614.40;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$65.60.

Should you bet on Baroka FC?

🔴 Baroka FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $576.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pretoria University x Baroka FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Pretoria University
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pretoria University x Baroka FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Pretoria University and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Pretoria University.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pretoria University x Baroka FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.