Pro Palazzo x Sondrio Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 1/12/2024 13:30 |
 Pro Palazzo1.75 |
X 3.39 |
Sondrio  4.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pro Palazzo x Sondrio:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Pro Palazzo x Sondrio
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Some important points for the tip for Pro Palazzo x Sondrio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pro Palazzo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. |
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Analysis from Pro Palazzo x Sondrio for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December
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🏟️ Pro Palazzo X Sondrio – Italy Serie D |
When the best bet on Pro Palazzo x Sondrio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Pro Palazzo x Sondrio
Is it worth betting on Pro Palazzo?
🔵 Pro Palazzo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $764.80;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$84.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on Sondrio worth it?
🔴 Sondrio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Pro Palazzo x Sondrio
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Pro Palazzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pro Palazzo x Sondrio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Pro Palazzo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Pro Palazzo.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Pro Palazzo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pro Palazzo x Sondrio
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
