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Home » Predictions » Others » Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 13h00 Italy Serie D
Pro Palazzo Pro Palazzo
PREDICTION Pro Palazzo wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
US Folgore Caratese US Folgore Caratese
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
13:00
Pro Palazzo Pro Palazzo
1.62
X
3.60
US Folgore Caratese US Folgore Caratese
4.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese:

🔮 Pro Palazzo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pro Palazzo, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese:

👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Pro Palazzo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, US Folgore Caratese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Pro Palazzo is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ Pro Palazzo X US Folgore Caratese – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Pro Palazzo – Winning probability: 69.62% | Fair line: 1.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.91% | Fair line: 4.56
🔴 US Folgore Caratese – Winning probability: 8.47% | Fair line: 11.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Pro Palazzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese

Is betting on Pro Palazzo worth it?

🔵 Pro Palazzo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $434.00
  • And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Should you bet on US Folgore Caratese?

🔴 US Folgore Caratese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $304.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$616.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Pro Palazzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Pro Palazzo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Pro Palazzo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Pro Palazzo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pro Palazzo x US Folgore Caratese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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