Pro Patria x Novara Betting tips for October 1 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Pro Patria x Novara, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 13:30

Pro Patria 2.63

X 2.70

Novara 2.79

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pro Patria x Novara:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Pro Patria x Novara

Some important points for the tip for Pro Patria x Novara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pro Patria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Novara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Novara, Pro Patria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Pro Patria matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Pro Patria x Novara for the Italy Serie C Group A – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pro Patria x Novara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pro Patria x Novara

Is it a good idea to bet on Pro Patria?

🔵 Pro Patria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $472.70;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$237.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$28.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Novara?

🔴 Novara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $626.50;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$23.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pro Patria x Novara

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Pro Patria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pro Patria x Novara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Pro Patria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Pro Patria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Pro Patria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pro Patria x Novara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.