| π
17/1/2022 13:45 |
 PSIS Semarang4.22 |
X 3.30 |
Arema FC  1.74 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for PSIS Semarang x Arema FC:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for PSIS Semarang x Arema FC
π Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for PSIS Semarang x Arema FC
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on PSIS Semarang x Arema FC?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best bookmakers from 2022, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from PSIS Semarang x Arema FC for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 17 of January
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ποΈ PSIS Semarang X Arema FC – Indonesia Liga 1 |
When the best bet on PSIS Semarang x Arema FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288303 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for PSIS Semarang x Arema FC
Is it a good idea to bet on PSIS Semarang?
π΅ PSIS Semarang: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $579.60;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$240.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$43.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Arema FC?
π΄ Arema FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $389.55
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$80.45.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSIS Semarang x Arema FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 PSIS Semarang
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSIS Semarang x Arema FC
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 PSIS Semarang, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 PSIS Semarang.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 PSIS Semarang.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSIS Semarang x Arema FC
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
