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Home » Predictions » PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC Betting tips for February 4 in Indonesia Liga 2
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 08h30 Indonesia Liga 2
PSMS Medan PSMS Medan
PREDICTION PSMS Medan wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Nusantara United FC Nusantara United FC
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC Betting tips for February 4 in Indonesia Liga 2

Our betting tip for PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
08:30
PSMS Medan PSMS Medan
1.48
X
3.70
Nusantara United FC Nusantara United FC
6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC:

🔮 PSMS Medan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSMS Medan, you can win up to $740.00!

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Important information for your tip for PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSMS Medan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nusantara United FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Nusantara United FC did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, PSMS Medan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Nusantara United FC conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Nusantara United FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC for the Indonesia Liga 2 – 4 of February

🏟️ PSMS Medan X Nusantara United FC – Indonesia Liga 2
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 08:30
🔵 PSMS Medan – Winning probability: 83.50% | Fair line: 1.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.49% | Fair line: 8.01
🔴 Nusantara United FC – Winning probability: 4.01% | Fair line: 24.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PSMS Medan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSMS Medan and Nusantara United FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256585 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC

Should you bet on PSMS Medan?

🔵 PSMS Medan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $403.20
  • And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$243.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$556.00.

Is it worth betting on Nusantara United FC?

🔴 Nusantara United FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $200.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PSMS Medan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 PSMS Medan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 PSMS Medan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 PSMS Medan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSMS Medan x Nusantara United FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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