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PSV Reserves x Excelsior Betting tips for January 21 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for PSV Reserves x Excelsior, Friday, 21/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 21/1/2022
19:00
PSV Reserves
3.45
X
3.75
Excelsior
1.83

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSV Reserves x Excelsior:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PSV Reserves wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV Reserves, you can win up to $1725.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for PSV Reserves x Excelsior

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSV Reserves x Excelsior?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSV Reserves x Excelsior, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from PSV Reserves x Excelsior for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 21 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PSV Reserves X Excelsior – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 21 of January, 2022 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต PSV Reserves – Winning probability: 38.20% | Fair line: 2.62
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.07% | Fair line: 3.44
๐Ÿ”ด Excelsior – Winning probability: 32.74% | Fair line: 3.05
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 PSV Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSV Reserves x Excelsior right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290581 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSV Reserves x Excelsior

Is betting on PSV Reserves worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต PSV Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $931.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$311.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $797.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$87.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Excelsior?

๐Ÿ”ด Excelsior: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $273.90;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$396.10.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match PSV Reserves x Excelsior

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 PSV Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV Reserves x Excelsior

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 PSV Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 PSV Reserves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Excelsior.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV Reserves x Excelsior

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Follow our tips on YouTube too

Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Friday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves