PSV Reserves x Maastricht Betting tips for April 14 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for PSV Reserves x Maastricht, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 18:00

PSV Reserves 2.30

X 3.75

Maastricht 2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSV Reserves x Maastricht:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for PSV Reserves x Maastricht

Important information for your tip for PSV Reserves x Maastricht: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Maastricht in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Maastricht did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSV Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 PSV Reserves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSV Reserves conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, PSV Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Maastricht.

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Analysis from PSV Reserves x Maastricht for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 14 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSV Reserves x Maastricht right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1303016 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSV Reserves x Maastricht

Is it a good idea to bet on PSV Reserves?

🔵 PSV Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $598.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$58.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $632.50
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$137.50.

Should you bet on Maastricht?

🔴 Maastricht: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $496.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match PSV Reserves x Maastricht

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PSV Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV Reserves x Maastricht

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 PSV Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 PSV Reserves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 PSV Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV Reserves x Maastricht

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.